By Laura Taylor of
Market
Overview
Market research firms and vendors are predicting that the
worldwide market for VPNs will reach, if not exceed, $10 billion
by 2003. Conservatives estimate that the growth rate will
be 300%, while others predict a growth rate of up to 1000%.
VPNs, Security, Networks
Market Size
(Revenues): 1999 $2.3 Billion
Market Growth Rates:
300 - 1000%
Market Leaders: Nortel, Checkpoint, Cisco,
Lucent, Axent, Nokia
Technology Challengers: Frame-relay,
ATM, DSL
To gain a historical perspective, one might consider X.25
to be the forerunner of VPNs. X.25, an early internet packet
switching protocol, and once the cornerstone of Internet WAN
links, used virtual private circuits on public networks similar
to how VPNs are being implemented today. However, in recent
years, X.25 has seen little use in the U.S., primarily due
to faster technologies such as Frame-Relay, opening the door
for VPN opportunities.
Unquestionably,
VPNs are hot. But what are they? Most experts will agree that
the acronym stands for Virtual Private Network, however,
what a VPN is depends on whom you ask. According to Eric Wolford,
Director of IP marketing for AT&T Internet services "VPNs
tend to now be what the market says they are." The best way
to find out what a provider means when they talk about VPNs
is to review its VPN Service Level Description. If
a VPN provider does not have a Service Level Description,
you can be sure that it is not clear on what a VPN service
is supposed to offer.
So
is a VPN a product or a service? The answer is both. A VPN
product is a product used to facilitate a VPN service. Different
vendors will give you different VPN definitions, depending
on what kind of product they are trying to sell, and clearly
there are multiple types of VPNs. In trying to ascertain VPNs,
you need not chase your tail further. Defined simply, a VPN
is a private encapsulated network service that runs over a
public network. VPNs evolved as a response to the high-cost
of private leased lines and frame-relay, and utilization of
VPNs is a way of creating secure network services without
having to rely on third-party providers who charge monthly
usage or bandwidth fees. With VPNs, there is an initial setup
and implementation cost, but unlike leased lines and frame-relay,
there are no monthly service provider charges.
VPN implementations typically fall into three categories:
intranet, extranet, and secure remote access. Within each
of these three categories there should exist some element
of Access Control, Authentication, and Encryption. VPNs can
also be static or dynamic. Static VPNs are up full time. Dynamic
VPNs operate on demand and are more commonly used for mobile
workers and telecommuters.
Intranet
VPNs connect multiple sites within an enterprise, and are
important for safeguarding interoffice communications, i.e.
connecting an East Coast office with a West Coast office over
publicly available internet POPs. The second VPN category
is secure remote access VPNs, which we believe will grow as
the need to connect mobile workers increases. We believe secure
remote access VPNs will slowly start to replace modem banks
and RAS servers as companies phase out traditional data communications
for more inexpensive, secure, and flexible VPN solutions.
As Global Electronic Villages emerge, extranet VPNs will also
become a significant growth market. Extranet VPNs connect
one enterprise to multiple enterprises. Suppliers want to
be connected to their inventory markets. Hospitals want to
be connected to primary care providers. Companies want to
be connected through their ISP or ASP to their website. Financial
institutions need to secure monetary transactions. Business
partners need to share pieces of their networks with other
partners.
Unfortunately,
as any seasoned network administrator who has implemented
VPNs can tell you, installing and configuring VPNs is not
easy. In fact the complexity of the installation and on-going
management has created an entirely new service market. Due
to popular customer demand, many ISPs, ASPs, and webhosting
companies are now offering Managed VPN Services to
resolve the complexity problem.
Page 2: Market Winners
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The Authors
Laura Taylor
is a Research Director with TechnologyEvaluation.COM's Security
Practice. Ms. Taylor manages the research of security technologies and
their vendors, identifying and qualifying key criteria necessary to
assist IT decision makers in making best-choice infrastructure
investments.
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